Latin America and shifting wealth...!

 How economic development in Latin America is being influenced by the contemporary global context, in which global wealth is shifting towards emerging economies. It begins by explaining the main characteristics of this shift, in which China is playing a key role. 

It then assesses Latin America’s role in the process and some of the consequences that the shift is having on the region’s development model. The new global economic context is shaping an environment that makes it particularly difficult for Latin America to continue its structural transformation, overcome the middle-income trap and make its growth more inclusive. 

Finally, faced with the prospect that the global scenario will not change much in the near future, the chapter proposes various policy options to enable international integration in a way that fosters the region’s development: creating a more diversified production structure, enlarging the regional market, and capturing value added in the production chain.

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    Latin American Economic Outlook 2014

Latin America is currently experiencing a slowdown in growth due to the downturn in external demand and the structural limitations of its economies. Although the slowdown is only moderate for the moment, there are reasons to believe that it could be persistent if there is no policy action to raise the growth capacity of the region’s economies. Given this scenario, this chapter analyses three important aspects and discusses suitable policies for reducing the associated vulnerabilities. 

First, it documents the changes in the external context and their consequences for the dynamics of external demand, considering some of the vulnerabilities resulting from the pattern of trade specialization in the region and the limited ability of domestic demand to sustain growth. It also analyses the potential risks to financial and economic stability in the region’s financial systems amid the high uncertainty regarding the future direction of US monetary policy and liquidity in international capital markets. 

Finally, the chapter looks at how fiscal policy and the fiscal space are being changed. Institutions and regulations that can facilitate the sustainable creation of fiscal space are particularly important for the Latin American economies. Governments must do more than merely increase their revenue; they must also invest more efficiently and effectively to respond to new needs and demands.

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http://www.latameconomy.org/en/outlook/

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